research: production roadmap synthesis — every loop output mapped to owner/LOC/priority (#738)
Terminal output of the SOTA research loop. Maps every research finding
to owner, LOC estimate, dependency, and priority across 6 tiers.
Total engineering budget across the loop's output:
- Tier 1 (Q3 2026): ~490 LOC, 3-4 person-weeks
- Tier 2 (Q3-Q4 2026): ~1180 LOC, 6-8 person-weeks
- Tier 3 (2027): ~1140 LOC, 8-10 person-weeks
- Tier 4-5 (long horizon): ~700+ LOC, 6-8 person-weeks
- TOTAL: ~3,500 LOC, ~25 person-weeks
Tier 1 (next quarter) ships:
- 1.1 wifi-densepose plan-antennas CLI tool (360 LOC) -- 93x placement lift
- 1.2 R12.1 pose-PABS in vital_signs cog (80 LOC) -- 9.36x intruder lift
- 1.3 cog-person-count v0.0.3 chest-centric (50 LOC)
- 1.4 ADR-029 amendment w/ ADR-113 matrix (0 LOC)
Critical-path graph:
1.1 + 1.2 -> 1.3 -> 2.1 ruview-fed -> 2.2 DP-vital-signs -> 3.1 cross-install -> 3.2 PQC
+-> 3.3 real-AETHER -> 3.4 fall-detect
+-> 4.x verticals
Why this matters: after 35 ticks of research output, this is the
document that lets a team pick up and ship without re-reading the 34
research notes. Priority alignment, estimate-anchoring, critical-path
visibility — all in one place.
R-thread mapping:
- R5/R6/R6.2 family/R6.1 -> Tier 1
- R12/R12.1 PABS -> Tier 1.2
- R3/R3.1/R3.2/R14/R15 -> Tier 2-3
- R7 mincut -> Tier 2 (in ruview-fed)
- R13 NEGATIVE -> rules out BP, no Tier line
- R10/R11/R16/R17/R18 verticals -> Tier 4-5
Composes with every loop output. Every thread, ADR, vertical sketch
has a line in some Tier. The TERMINAL output that needs the synthesis
power of a research loop to produce.
Honest scope:
- Estimates synthetic-data-based; may shift after bench validation
- Critical-path may have hidden dependencies (e.g. AgentDB schema)
- 25 person-weeks assumes full-time engineers
- Doesn't include integration testing, documentation, deployment ops
- Tiers based on architectural dependency, not business priority
Loop status after 35 ticks:
- 16 research threads
- 6 exotic verticals
- 6 new ADRs (105/106/107/108/109/113)
- 3 negative result categories
- 2 self-corrections
- 3 honest-scope findings
- 9-tick R6 family (complete)
- 3-tick R3 arc (complete)
- 3-tick R12 arc (complete)
- This production roadmap
00-summary.md will follow at 12:00 UTC / 08:00 ET cron stop.
Coordination: ticks/tick-35.md, no PROGRESS.md edit.
This commit is contained in:
rUv
GitHub
parent
472774d3f8
commit
ab80280f93
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,279 @@
|
|||
# Production roadmap: from loop output to shipped product
|
||||
|
||||
**Status:** synthesis — every loop finding mapped to a concrete next-step action · **2026-05-22**
|
||||
|
||||
## Why this document exists
|
||||
|
||||
The SOTA research loop produced 34+ ticks of physics, simulation, architecture, and vertical sketches. Without a roadmap, none of it ships. This document maps every loop output to:
|
||||
|
||||
- **Owner** (which team / role picks it up)
|
||||
- **LOC estimate** (rough engineering cost)
|
||||
- **Dependencies** (what must land first)
|
||||
- **Priority** (HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW based on leverage × certainty)
|
||||
|
||||
Reading order: top sections are the highest-leverage / shortest-path-to-ship items. Bottom sections are exotic / long-horizon work.
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 1 — Ship in next quarter (Q3 2026)
|
||||
|
||||
### 1.1 — `wifi-densepose plan-antennas` CLI tool
|
||||
|
||||
**Source ticks**: R6.2 / R6.2.1 / R6.2.2 / R6.2.2.1 / R6.2.3 / R6.2.4 / R6.2.5 / ADR-113
|
||||
**Owner**: CLI maintainer (per ADR-104)
|
||||
**LOC**: ~360 (placement search engine, 4-axis matrix lookup, 3D ellipsoid extension, multi-target union)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: none (reference numpy implementations exist in examples/research-sota/)
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — 93× sensing-coverage lift from physics alone; existing customers can re-mount today
|
||||
|
||||
```bash
|
||||
wifi-densepose plan-antennas \
|
||||
--room 5 5 [Z] \
|
||||
--target NAME X Y W H [DX DY DZ] \
|
||||
--target-mode {body, chest} \
|
||||
--cog COG_NAME \
|
||||
--freq-ghz 2.4 \
|
||||
--n-anchors N
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
### 1.2 — R12.1 pose-PABS closed loop in `vital_signs` cog
|
||||
|
||||
**Source ticks**: R12 PABS / R12.1 / R6.1
|
||||
**Owner**: `vital_signs.rs` maintainer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~80 (PABS = ||observed − predicted||² / ||observed||², coupled with pose_tracker.rs updates)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: existing pose pipeline (ADR-079, ADR-101), R6.1 multi-scatterer forward operator
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — 9.36× intruder-detection lift; ships a V0 security feature
|
||||
|
||||
### 1.3 — `cog-person-count` v0.0.3 with chest-centric placement
|
||||
|
||||
**Source ticks**: R5 / R8 / R6.2.3 / ADR-113
|
||||
**Owner**: cog-person-count maintainer (ADR-103)
|
||||
**LOC**: ~50 (placement-aware training config + per-cog `--target-mode=body` default in ADR-113 matrix)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.1 CLI tool
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — already shipped v0.0.2 from this loop's K-fold + label-smoothing work; v0.0.3 is the placement-aware retrain
|
||||
|
||||
### 1.4 — ADR-029 amendment with ADR-113 placement matrix
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-113
|
||||
**Owner**: ADR-029 author / architect
|
||||
**LOC**: 0 (ADR amendment only)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.1 CLI tool (validates the matrix)
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — closes the multistatic-placement question ADR-029 left open
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 2 — Ship in next 6 months (Q3-Q4 2026)
|
||||
|
||||
### 2.1 — `ruview-fed` crate (within-installation federation)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-105 + ADR-106
|
||||
**Owner**: federation specialist (new role)
|
||||
**LOC**: ~800 (Krum aggregator, LoRA+int8 delta codec, MERIDIAN centroid hook, mincut consistency check, DP-SGD with Moments Accountant, primitive isolation enforcement)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: AgentDB, ruvllm-microlora, ruvector-mincut (all existing)
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — enables R14 empathic appliances + R16/R17/R18 vertical work; ~3-week effort
|
||||
|
||||
### 2.2 — Updated `cog-vital-signs` with R15 primitive isolation
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R14 / R15 / ADR-106
|
||||
**Owner**: vital-signs cog maintainer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~120 (PrimitiveTag enum, on-device-only enforcement at API surface, per-cog config schema)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 2.1 `ruview-fed`
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** — privacy-compliant medical-grade vitals; required for R16 healthcare deployment
|
||||
|
||||
### 2.3 — Bench validation suite for placement matrix
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-113 honest scope
|
||||
**Owner**: bench engineer + COM5 hardware
|
||||
**LOC**: ~200 (test fixtures + CSI capture + matrix-vs-observed comparison)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.1 CLI tool
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — turns ADR-113's synthetic numbers into validated numbers
|
||||
|
||||
### 2.4 — MCP tool `ruview_placement_recommend`
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-104 + ADR-113
|
||||
**Owner**: ruview-mcp maintainer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~60
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.1 CLI tool
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — enables AI-agent-driven deployment
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 3 — Ship in next year (2027)
|
||||
|
||||
### 3.1 — Cross-installation federation (ADR-107)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-107
|
||||
**Owner**: federation + crypto specialist
|
||||
**LOC**: +530 (Bonawitz secure aggregation, threshold Shamir, PKI client, per-installation rotation key)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 2.1 `ruview-fed`
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — enables R16-R17-R18 cross-installation cogs
|
||||
|
||||
### 3.2 — PQC migration Phase 1 (ADR-108 + ADR-109)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-108 + ADR-109
|
||||
**Owner**: crypto specialist
|
||||
**LOC**: +220 (Kyber-768 KEM) + +270 (Dilithium-3 signing) = +490 total
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 3.1 cross-installation federation
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — opt-in pgc-hybrid mode; required by Phase 2 (2027-Q2)
|
||||
|
||||
### 3.3 — Real-AETHER + R3.2 embedding-level cross-room re-ID
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R3 / R3.1 / R3.2 / ADR-024
|
||||
**Owner**: ML training engineer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~200 (R3.2 protocol composed with ADR-024 contrastive head)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: ADR-024 AETHER training (~1-2 days on RTX 5080)
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — produces working cross-room re-ID, unblocks R14 per-occupant features
|
||||
|
||||
### 3.4 — `cog-fall-detection` (R12.1 production)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R12.1 + ADR-079
|
||||
**Owner**: cog developer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~200 (pose-PABS pipeline + fall-event detector + EHR/alert integration shim)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.2 R12.1 in vital_signs
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** for R16 healthcare; **MEDIUM** for general
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 4 — Long horizon (2027-2030)
|
||||
|
||||
### 4.1 — PQC migration Phase 2 (hybrid default)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-108 + ADR-109 Phase 2
|
||||
**Owner**: crypto specialist
|
||||
**LOC**: +150
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 3.2 Phase 1 deployed and stable
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — CNSA 2.0 compliance
|
||||
|
||||
### 4.2 — Wildlife cog (R10 + cog-wildlife)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R10
|
||||
**Owner**: ecology partner + cog developer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~300 (gait-frequency classifier + species-prior model + labelled wildlife CSI dataset)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 2.1 federation (for cross-deployment training), labelled dataset (external partnership)
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — high impact but long lead-time for data
|
||||
|
||||
### 4.3 — Maritime cog (R11 + cog-maritime-watch)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R11
|
||||
**Owner**: maritime partner + cog developer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~250 (through-seam acoustic-coupled CSI + man-overboard detector + crew-vitals)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 2.1 federation, maritime partner for ship deployment
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — niche but high-value-per-deployment
|
||||
|
||||
### 4.4 — R6.1 multi-scatterer in production `vital_signs`
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R6.1
|
||||
**Owner**: vital-signs maintainer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~150 (replace scalar Fresnel with multi-scatterer forward; PPE-aware variant for R17 industrial)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: 1.2 R12.1 first
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — improves SNR-budget accuracy; PPE variant for R17
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 5 — Research-needed (post-2027)
|
||||
|
||||
### 5.1 — R6.1 with real body RCS measurements
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R6.1 honest scope
|
||||
**Owner**: physics consultant + bench engineer
|
||||
**LOC**: 0 (paper, measurement campaign)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: anechoic-chamber access
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — refines per-body-part reflectivity by 2-3×
|
||||
|
||||
### 5.2 — Outdoor / weather-affected propagation
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R10 / R11 / R17 / R18 honest scope
|
||||
**Owner**: physics consultant
|
||||
**LOC**: 0 (paper)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: weather-station data
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — needed for outdoor cogs
|
||||
|
||||
### 5.3 — Long-shift gait fatigue (cog-worker-fatigue)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R17 + R10
|
||||
**Owner**: ergonomics + ML developer
|
||||
**LOC**: ~300 (temporal gait-drift detector)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: labelled multi-hour worker data
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — OSHA-aligned but long lead-time
|
||||
|
||||
### 5.4 — Disaster-deployment federation with consent
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R18
|
||||
**Owner**: ethics consultant + legal
|
||||
**LOC**: 0 (policy work)
|
||||
**Dependencies**: FEMA / urban-SAR partnerships
|
||||
**Priority**: **LOW** — ethical work first, technical later
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 6 — Operational / management
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.1 — Owner-key rotation policy (ADR-111)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-109 honest scope
|
||||
**Owner**: security architect
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — required before ADR-109 Phase 1
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.2 — Cross-organisation PKI bootstrapping (ADR-107 operational)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: ADR-107 deferred items
|
||||
**Owner**: ops architect
|
||||
**Priority**: **MEDIUM** — needed before cross-installation federation goes multi-org
|
||||
|
||||
### 6.3 — FDA / CE regulatory pathway (R16)
|
||||
|
||||
**Source**: R16 healthcare honest scope
|
||||
**Owner**: regulatory consultant
|
||||
**Cost**: $500K-$2M per device class
|
||||
**Timeline**: 6-18 months
|
||||
**Priority**: **HIGH** for healthcare deployment
|
||||
|
||||
## Critical-path graph (text version)
|
||||
|
||||
```
|
||||
1.1 plan-antennas CLI ----+
|
||||
v
|
||||
1.2 R12.1 vital_signs ---+
|
||||
v
|
||||
1.3 cog-person-count v0.0.3 ---+
|
||||
v
|
||||
2.1 ruview-fed crate --------+
|
||||
v
|
||||
2.2 cog-vital-signs DP -----+
|
||||
v
|
||||
3.1 cross-install fed -----+
|
||||
v
|
||||
3.2 PQC migration --------+
|
||||
v
|
||||
3.3 R3.2 embedding cross-room
|
||||
3.4 cog-fall-detection (independent of 3.3)
|
||||
4.x verticals (R10, R11, R16, R17, R18)
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
## Total engineering budget across the loop's output
|
||||
|
||||
| Tier | LOC | Person-weeks |
|
||||
|---|---:|---:|
|
||||
| Tier 1 (Q3 2026) | ~490 | 3-4 |
|
||||
| Tier 2 (Q3-Q4 2026) | ~1180 | 6-8 |
|
||||
| Tier 3 (2027) | ~1140 | 8-10 |
|
||||
| Tier 4-5 (long horizon) | ~700+ | 6-8 |
|
||||
| **Total** | **~3,500 LOC** | **~25 person-weeks** |
|
||||
|
||||
This includes both the privacy + federation + PQC chain (~1,820 LOC) and the placement / cog / integration work (~1,700 LOC).
|
||||
|
||||
## What this roadmap DOES enable
|
||||
|
||||
1. **A team can pick this up and start shipping** without re-reading the 34 research notes.
|
||||
2. **Priority alignment** for engineering managers.
|
||||
3. **Estimate-anchoring** for project planning.
|
||||
4. **Critical-path visibility** for parallel work scheduling.
|
||||
|
||||
## What this roadmap DOES NOT enable
|
||||
|
||||
- Production validation (still required per Tier 2.3 bench validation).
|
||||
- Regulatory approval (Tier 6.3 separate pathway).
|
||||
- Partnership establishment (Tier 4.4 / 4.3 / 5.4 all need external partners).
|
||||
- The roadmap is **only as good as the underlying ticks** — synthetic-data-based estimates may shift.
|
||||
|
||||
## Composes with every loop thread
|
||||
|
||||
This document is the **terminal output** of the loop — every research thread, ADR, vertical sketch, and follow-up has a line in some Tier above.
|
||||
|
||||
## Connection back
|
||||
|
||||
Every loop output → roadmap line:
|
||||
- Research threads R1, R3, R5–R18 → Tier 3-5 cogs + Tier 1-2 implementations
|
||||
- ADRs 105-109 + 113 → Tier 2-4 implementation work
|
||||
- R6 family (9 ticks) → Tier 1.1 CLI + Tier 4.4 production multi-scatterer
|
||||
- R3 arc (3 ticks) → Tier 3.3 real-AETHER + Tier 3 cross-room re-ID
|
||||
- R12 arc (3 ticks) → Tier 1.2 R12.1 pose-PABS + Tier 3.4 cog-fall-detection
|
||||
- Negative results (R12 revisited, R13 floor, R3.1 architecture) → Tier 5 research-needed items
|
||||
- Honest-scope findings → Tier 5 research-needed items
|
||||
|
|
@ -0,0 +1,101 @@
|
|||
# Tick 35 — 2026-05-22 10:55 UTC
|
||||
|
||||
**Thread:** Production roadmap synthesis
|
||||
**Verdict:** Terminal output of the loop. Maps every research finding to owner / LOC / dependency / priority. Total budget: **~3,500 LOC, ~25 person-weeks**.
|
||||
|
||||
## What shipped
|
||||
|
||||
- `docs/research/sota-2026-05-22/PRODUCTION-ROADMAP.md` — 6-tier roadmap from loop output to shipped product.
|
||||
|
||||
## Headline budget breakdown
|
||||
|
||||
| Tier | Timeline | LOC | Person-weeks |
|
||||
|---|---|---:|---:|
|
||||
| Tier 1 | Q3 2026 (next quarter) | ~490 | 3-4 |
|
||||
| Tier 2 | Q3-Q4 2026 | ~1180 | 6-8 |
|
||||
| Tier 3 | 2027 | ~1140 | 8-10 |
|
||||
| Tier 4-5 | long horizon | ~700+ | 6-8 |
|
||||
| **Total** | | **~3,500** | **~25 weeks** |
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 1 (Q3 2026) — 4 items
|
||||
|
||||
| # | Item | LOC | Priority |
|
||||
|---|---|---:|---|
|
||||
| 1.1 | `wifi-densepose plan-antennas` CLI tool | 360 | HIGH |
|
||||
| 1.2 | R12.1 pose-PABS in vital_signs cog | 80 | HIGH |
|
||||
| 1.3 | cog-person-count v0.0.3 chest-centric | 50 | HIGH |
|
||||
| 1.4 | ADR-029 amendment w/ ADR-113 matrix | 0 | HIGH |
|
||||
|
||||
Tier 1 alone delivers: 93× placement-coverage lift, 9.36× intruder-detection lift, ADR-029 closed.
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 2 (Q3-Q4 2026) — 4 items
|
||||
|
||||
`ruview-fed` crate (800 LOC), cog-vital-signs DP (120), bench validation (200), MCP placement tool (60).
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 3 (2027) — 4 items
|
||||
|
||||
Cross-install fed (530), PQC Phase 1 (490), real-AETHER + R3.2 (200), cog-fall-detection (200).
|
||||
|
||||
## Tier 4-5 — long horizon
|
||||
|
||||
- 4.x: PQC Phase 2, R10 wildlife cog, R11 maritime cog, R6.1 production
|
||||
- 5.x: Real RCS measurements, weather-affected propagation, fatigue cog, disaster-fed ethics
|
||||
|
||||
## Critical-path graph
|
||||
|
||||
```
|
||||
1.1 CLI ──┬──> 1.3 person-count v0.0.3 ──┬──> 2.1 ruview-fed ──> 2.2 DP-VS ──> 3.1 X-install ──> 3.2 PQC
|
||||
1.2 R12.1─┘ │ │
|
||||
└──> 3.3 real-AETHER ──> 3.4 fall │
|
||||
4.x verticals
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
## Why this document matters
|
||||
|
||||
After 35 ticks of research output, this is the document that lets a team **pick up and ship** without re-reading the 34 research notes. Priority alignment, estimate-anchoring, critical-path visibility — all in one place.
|
||||
|
||||
## What R-numbered threads ship in what tier
|
||||
|
||||
| Threads | Tier |
|
||||
|---|---|
|
||||
| R5 / R6 / R6.2 family / R6.1 | Tier 1 (placement + PABS) |
|
||||
| R12 / R12.1 PABS | Tier 1.2 |
|
||||
| R3 / R3.1 / R3.2 / R14 / R15 | Tier 2-3 (privacy + federation) |
|
||||
| R7 mincut | Tier 2 (in ruview-fed) |
|
||||
| R13 NEGATIVE | rules out BP cog, no Tier line |
|
||||
| R10 wildlife | Tier 4.2 |
|
||||
| R11 maritime | Tier 4.3 |
|
||||
| R16/R17/R18 verticals | Tier 4-5 |
|
||||
|
||||
## Composes with every loop output
|
||||
|
||||
Every loop thread, ADR, vertical sketch has a line in some Tier above. This is the **terminal output** of the loop — the last document that needs the synthesis power of a research loop to produce.
|
||||
|
||||
## Honest scope of the roadmap itself
|
||||
|
||||
- Estimates are synthetic-data-based; may shift after bench validation
|
||||
- Critical-path may have hidden dependencies (e.g. AgentDB schema changes)
|
||||
- 25 person-weeks assumes full-time engineers, not split focus
|
||||
- Doesn't include integration testing, documentation, deployment ops time
|
||||
- Tiers are based on architectural dependency, not business priority
|
||||
|
||||
## Coordination
|
||||
|
||||
`ticks/tick-35.md`. No PROGRESS.md edit. Branch `research/sota-production-roadmap`.
|
||||
|
||||
## Loop status approaching completion
|
||||
|
||||
~1.1h to cron stop. After 35 ticks the loop has produced:
|
||||
|
||||
- 16 research threads (R1, R3, R5-R15, R16, R17, R18)
|
||||
- 6 exotic verticals (wildlife, maritime, empathic, healthcare, industrial, disaster)
|
||||
- 6 new ADRs (105, 106, 107, 108, 109, 113)
|
||||
- 3 negative result categories
|
||||
- 2 self-corrections
|
||||
- 3 honest-scope findings
|
||||
- 9-tick R6 placement family (complete)
|
||||
- 3-tick R3 cross-room re-ID arc (complete)
|
||||
- 3-tick R12 structure detection arc (complete)
|
||||
- This production roadmap synthesis
|
||||
|
||||
The 00-summary.md (final tick) will follow after the 12:00 UTC / 08:00 ET cron stop.
|
||||
Loading…
Reference in New Issue